Castle Bravo on Dubai
15 Mt thermonuclear weapon · UAE · Population 3,604,000 · Density 950/km²
About this scenario
This page calculates what would happen if the Castle Bravo (USA, 1954) detonated over Dubai (UAE). Most powerful US nuclear test.
The most populous city in the United Arab Emirates and a global trade and tourism hub. With an urban-core density of about 950 people per km², even a relatively small detonation over the city center would affect a large population.
The Castle Bravo delivers 15 Mt of explosive yield — 1,000× more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb. The tables below show calculated effect radii for an air burst (optimized for blast spread) and a surface burst (which produces massive fallout).
Air-burst effects (Castle Bravo over Dubai)
| Effect zone | Radius | Est. affected |
|---|---|---|
| Fireball (vaporization, 100% fatal) | 6.79 km | ~137,557 |
| Severe blast (20 PSI, ~98% fatal) | 11.51 km | ~250,070 |
| Moderate blast (5 PSI, ~50% fatal) | 24.60 km | ~705,336 |
| Light blast (1 PSI, glass injuries) | 69.98 km | ~640,491 |
| 3rd-degree thermal burns | 34.54 km | — |
| 2nd-degree thermal burns | 61.86 km | — |
Estimated total fatalities: ~1,092,963 · Estimated total affected (inside 1 PSI light-blast radius): ~14,616,014.
Surface-burst effects (with fallout)
A surface burst trades blast spread for radioactive fallout — much smaller blast radii but a large lethal fallout plume drifting downwind. This is what would happen if the Castle Bravo struck ground level rather than detonating optimally above Dubai.
| Effect zone | Radius (surface burst) |
|---|---|
| Fireball | 5.43 km |
| Severe blast (20 PSI) | 6.33 km |
| Moderate blast (5 PSI) | 13.53 km |
| Light blast (1 PSI) | 38.49 km |
| 3rd-degree thermal burns | 20.72 km |
| Lethal fallout zone | ~561.8 km |
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See the actual blast zones overlaid on a map of Dubai with population-density-based casualty estimates updated in real time as you move the detonation point.
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FAQ
What would happen if the Castle Bravo detonated over Dubai?
In an air burst over Dubai, the Castle Bravo (15 Mt) would produce a fireball about 6.79 km in radius. The 5 PSI moderate-blast zone — where most residential buildings collapse — would extend to 24.60 km. Light blast damage and shattered windows would reach 69.98 km. Given Dubai's urban density (~950/km²), this scenario yields an estimated 1,092,963 immediate fatalities and about 640,491 additional injured.
How many people would die in Dubai from a Castle Bravo strike?
An air burst of the Castle Bravo over Dubai could cause an estimated 1,092,963 immediate fatalities and 640,491 additional injuries. The fireball alone (radius 6.79 km) would kill approximately 137,557 people; the severe-blast zone (20 PSI, radius 11.51 km) would add 250,070; the moderate-blast zone (5 PSI, radius 24.60 km) would add 705,336 more. Real numbers depend heavily on time of day, sheltering, weather, and altitude of detonation.
What is the blast radius of the Castle Bravo on Dubai?
For an air burst over Dubai: fireball 6.79 km, severe blast (20 PSI) 11.51 km, moderate blast (5 PSI) 24.60 km, light blast (1 PSI) 69.98 km. Thermal radiation causes 3rd-degree burns out to 34.54 km. A surface burst would shrink the blast radii by roughly 40 percent but generate massive radioactive fallout extending ~562 km from ground zero.
Is the Castle Bravo bigger than the bomb that hit Hiroshima?
The Hiroshima bomb (Little Boy) had a yield of about 15 kilotons. The Castle Bravo at 15 Mt is 1,000× more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb.