B61 on Shanghai
340 kt thermonuclear weapon · China · Population 24,870,000 · Density 3,900/km²
About this scenario
This page calculates what would happen if the B61 (USA, 1968) detonated over Shanghai (China). Variable yield tactical bomb.
China's largest city by population and one of the world's busiest container ports. With an urban-core density of about 3,900 people per km², even a relatively small detonation over the city center would affect a large population.
The B61 delivers 340 kt of explosive yield — 23× more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb. The tables below show calculated effect radii for an air burst (optimized for blast spread) and a surface burst (which produces massive fallout).
Air-burst effects (B61 over Shanghai)
| Effect zone | Radius | Est. affected |
|---|---|---|
| Fireball (vaporization, 100% fatal) | 1.49 km | ~27,298 |
| Severe blast (20 PSI, ~98% fatal) | 3.30 km | ~103,413 |
| Moderate blast (5 PSI, ~50% fatal) | 7.05 km | ~237,844 |
| Light blast (1 PSI, glass injuries) | 20.06 km | ~215,978 |
| 3rd-degree thermal burns | 7.31 km | — |
| 2nd-degree thermal burns | 13.09 km | — |
Estimated total fatalities: ~368,555 · Estimated total affected (inside 1 PSI light-blast radius): ~4,928,625.
Surface-burst effects (with fallout)
A surface burst trades blast spread for radioactive fallout — much smaller blast radii but a large lethal fallout plume drifting downwind. This is what would happen if the B61 struck ground level rather than detonating optimally above Shanghai.
| Effect zone | Radius (surface burst) |
|---|---|
| Fireball | 1.19 km |
| Severe blast (20 PSI) | 1.81 km |
| Moderate blast (5 PSI) | 3.88 km |
| Light blast (1 PSI) | 11.03 km |
| 3rd-degree thermal burns | 4.39 km |
| Lethal fallout zone | ~123.5 km |
Run this scenario in the simulator
See the actual blast zones overlaid on a map of Shanghai with population-density-based casualty estimates updated in real time as you move the detonation point.
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FAQ
What would happen if the B61 detonated over Shanghai?
In an air burst over Shanghai, the B61 (340 kt) would produce a fireball about 1.49 km in radius. The 5 PSI moderate-blast zone — where most residential buildings collapse — would extend to 7.05 km. Light blast damage and shattered windows would reach 20.06 km. Given Shanghai's urban density (~3,900/km²), this scenario yields an estimated 368,555 immediate fatalities and about 215,978 additional injured.
How many people would die in Shanghai from a B61 strike?
An air burst of the B61 over Shanghai could cause an estimated 368,555 immediate fatalities and 215,978 additional injuries. The fireball alone (radius 1.49 km) would kill approximately 27,298 people; the severe-blast zone (20 PSI, radius 3.30 km) would add 103,413; the moderate-blast zone (5 PSI, radius 7.05 km) would add 237,844 more. Real numbers depend heavily on time of day, sheltering, weather, and altitude of detonation.
What is the blast radius of the B61 on Shanghai?
For an air burst over Shanghai: fireball 1.49 km, severe blast (20 PSI) 3.30 km, moderate blast (5 PSI) 7.05 km, light blast (1 PSI) 20.06 km. Thermal radiation causes 3rd-degree burns out to 7.31 km. A surface burst would shrink the blast radii by roughly 40 percent but generate massive radioactive fallout extending ~124 km from ground zero.
Is the B61 bigger than the bomb that hit Hiroshima?
The Hiroshima bomb (Little Boy) had a yield of about 15 kilotons. The B61 at 340 kt is 23× more powerful than the Hiroshima bomb.