Little Boy on Moscow

15 kt fission weapon · Russia · Population 12,600,000 · Density 4,900/km²

About this scenario

This page calculates what would happen if the Little Boy (USA, 1945) detonated over Moscow (Russia). Hiroshima bomb.

The capital of Russia and the largest city in Europe by population. With an urban-core density of about 4,900 people per km², even a relatively small detonation over the city center would affect a large population.

The Little Boy delivers 15 kt of explosive yield — comparable in yield to the Hiroshima bomb. The tables below show calculated effect radii for an air burst (optimized for blast spread) and a surface burst (which produces massive fallout).

Air-burst effects (Little Boy over Moscow)

Effect zoneRadiusEst. affected
Fireball (vaporization, 100% fatal)0.43 km~2,825
Severe blast (20 PSI, ~98% fatal)1.18 km~18,111
Moderate blast (5 PSI, ~50% fatal)2.52 km~38,096
Light blast (1 PSI, glass injuries)7.16 km~34,592
3rd-degree thermal burns2.03 km
2nd-degree thermal burns3.64 km

Estimated total fatalities: ~59,032 · Estimated total affected (inside 1 PSI light-blast radius): ~789,408.

Surface-burst effects (with fallout)

A surface burst trades blast spread for radioactive fallout — much smaller blast radii but a large lethal fallout plume drifting downwind. This is what would happen if the Little Boy struck ground level rather than detonating optimally above Moscow.

Effect zoneRadius (surface burst)
Fireball0.34 km
Severe blast (20 PSI)0.65 km
Moderate blast (5 PSI)1.38 km
Light blast (1 PSI)3.94 km
3rd-degree thermal burns1.22 km
Lethal fallout zone~35.5 km

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See the actual blast zones overlaid on a map of Moscow with population-density-based casualty estimates updated in real time as you move the detonation point.

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Little Boy on other cities

Other weapons on Moscow

FAQ

What would happen if the Little Boy detonated over Moscow?

In an air burst over Moscow, the Little Boy (15 kt) would produce a fireball about 0.43 km in radius. The 5 PSI moderate-blast zone — where most residential buildings collapse — would extend to 2.52 km. Light blast damage and shattered windows would reach 7.16 km. Given Moscow's urban density (~4,900/km²), this scenario yields an estimated 59,032 immediate fatalities and about 34,592 additional injured.

How many people would die in Moscow from a Little Boy strike?

An air burst of the Little Boy over Moscow could cause an estimated 59,032 immediate fatalities and 34,592 additional injuries. The fireball alone (radius 0.43 km) would kill approximately 2,825 people; the severe-blast zone (20 PSI, radius 1.18 km) would add 18,111; the moderate-blast zone (5 PSI, radius 2.52 km) would add 38,096 more. Real numbers depend heavily on time of day, sheltering, weather, and altitude of detonation.

What is the blast radius of the Little Boy on Moscow?

For an air burst over Moscow: fireball 0.43 km, severe blast (20 PSI) 1.18 km, moderate blast (5 PSI) 2.52 km, light blast (1 PSI) 7.16 km. Thermal radiation causes 3rd-degree burns out to 2.03 km. A surface burst would shrink the blast radii by roughly 40 percent but generate massive radioactive fallout extending ~35 km from ground zero.

Is the Little Boy bigger than the bomb that hit Hiroshima?

The Hiroshima bomb (Little Boy) had a yield of about 15 kilotons. The Little Boy at 15 kt is comparable in yield to the Hiroshima bomb.

Casualty math uses Moscow's urban-core density and the scaling laws on the methodology page. See Little Boy weapon details, the Moscow scenario overview, or browse all scenarios.